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📡 2026-08-10 — Where Medtech's Energy Is Going

Market-wide analysis: hot categories, cooling categories, new-entrant clusters, incumbent defensive moves, and distress signals. Independent of any specific product set.
Weekly Robotics Future Momentum: last 365d vs 1825d baseline Incumbent moves: last 90d New entrants: last 365d
Free edition · Published by Elephant Hawk — elephanthawk.com/tools
Hottest category (1y/5y ratio)
3.85×
— — see below
Codes attracting new entrants
15
top: 40 first-timers in QIH
Top-50 incumbent moves
74
56 reinforce · 18 expand · 34 active firms
Distress signals
0
acquisition candidates

🔥 Hot Categories — FDA Codes Accelerating

Top FDA product codes by velocity ratio (last 365d clearance rate ÷ last 1825d baseline rate). A ratio of 2.0× means the code is filing at twice its long-run pace right now. These are the codes the industry's R&D and capital are concentrating in.

RankCodeDeviceSpecialtyClass VelocityRecent (1y)Baseline (5y)Recent sponsors
1 3.85× 10 13 10
2 QSM System, Surgical, Computer Controlled Instrument, Remanufactured Gastroenterology, Urology II 3.13× 5 8 2
3 LYC Bone Grafting Material, Synthetic Dental II 3.13× 5 8 4
4 DHB System, Test, Radioallergosorbent (Rast) Immunological Immunology II 3.0× 6 10 1
5 LOL Hepatitis A Test (Antibody And Igm Antibody) Microbiology II 3.0× 3 5 2
6 SCA Multi-Analyte Respiratory Virus Antigen Detection Test Microbiology II 2.92× 7 12 5
7 KRH Ring, Annuloplasty Cardiovascular II 2.78× 5 9 3
8 GAM Suture, Absorbable, Synthetic, Polyglycolic Acid General, Plastic Surgery II 2.73× 6 11 4
9 DXT Injector And Syringe, Angiographic Cardiovascular II 2.69× 7 13 6
10 GXN Plate, Cranioplasty, Preformed, Non-Alterable Neurology II 2.5× 6 12 6
11 OLI Fat Reducing Low Level Laser General, Plastic Surgery II 2.5× 5 10 4
12 SAN Automated Antimicrobial Susceptibility Test System For Positive Blood Culture Samples Microbiology II 2.5× 4 8 4
13 IZQ Injector, Contrast Medium, Automatic Cardiovascular II 2.5× 3 6 2
14 QJU Image Acquisition And/Or Optimization Guided By Artificial Intelligence Radiology II 2.5× 3 6 3
15 MVL Cord, Retraction Unknown 2.5× 3 6 3

🚀 New-Entrant Clusters — Codes Attracting First-Time Filers

FDA product codes ranked by the number of sponsors who filed their FIRST 510(k) in that code during the last 365 days. High first-timer counts = new capital + new R&D entering the category. This is the leading edge of where the focus is going (lags the underlying R&D investment by ~12-24 months).

RankCodeDeviceSpecialty First-time filersSample firms
1 QIH Automated Radiological Image Processing Software Radiology 40 Agada Medical, Ltd.Ai4medimaging Medical Solutions S.A.Airs Medical, Inc.Angiowave Imaging, Inc.Anumana, Inc.
2 LLZ System, Image Processing, Radiological Radiology 34 AS Software, LLCAgfa Healthcare N.V.Apryse Software CorpArchy Dental, Inc.Artiness S.R.L
3 GEX Powered Laser Surgical Instrument General, Plastic Surgery 27 Baoding Te'Anzhou Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.Beijing HuaCheng Taike Technology Co., Ltd.Beijing Superlaser Technology Co., Ltd.Bellamia Technologies, Inc.Boston Aesthetics, Inc.
4 ITI Wheelchair, Powered Physical Medicine 23 Beijing OrionStar Technology Co., Ltd.Hebei Dansong Medical Technology Co., Ltd.Jiangsu Intco Medical Products Co., Ltd.Jiangsu Yveelt Medical Equipment Co., Ltd.Nanjing CareMoving Rehabilitation Equipment Co.,Ltd
5 OHS Light Based Over The Counter Wrinkle Reduction General, Plastic Surgery 22 Atop Lighting Co., Ltd.Dongguan Miqiang Technology Co., Ltd.Dongguan Yanxi Technology Co., Ltd.Dongguan Yijiaming Technology Co., Ltd.Guangdong Ace-Tec Co., Ltd.
6 GEI Electrosurgical, Cutting & Coagulation & Accessories General, Plastic Surgery 21 Acotec Scientific Co., Ltd.Ascblue CorporationAsterasys Co., Ltd.Atraverse Medical, Inc.Aventix Medical, Inc.
7 GCJ Laparoscope, General & Plastic Surgery Gastroenterology, Urology 18 Ab Medica SasFloShield, Inc.Freyja Healthcare, LLCHangzhou Hawk Optical Electronic Instruments Co., Ltd.Integrated Endoscopy, Inc.
8 ODP Intervertebral Fusion Device With Bone Graft, Cervical Orthopedic 15 C.A. Medical, LLCDegen MedicalEffortmed, LLCFims Co., Ltd.HC Biologics, LLC
9 INI Vehicle, Motorized 3-Wheeled Physical Medicine 15 Dongguan Smarfody Mobility Technology Co., Ltd.Jiangsu Bangbang Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.Jiangsu Intco Medical Products Co., Ltd.Jochu Technology Co., Ltd.Lerado Zhongshan Peaceful Cove Business Trading Co., Ltd.
10 LRK Device, Anti-Snoring Dental 14 Aiomega, LLCAirway Technologies D/B/A Airway ManagementDcstar, Inc.Dongguan Yiyao Science & Technology Development Co., Ltd.Endeavor Commerce, LLC
11 NKB Thoracolumbosacral Pedicle Screw System Orthopedic 13 Allumin8, Inc.Beijing Fule Science & Technology Development Co., Ltd.Box Spine, LLCChanpin Medtak Co., Ltd.Double Medical Technology, Inc.
12 DYB Introducer, Catheter Cardiovascular 13 Cardiocycle Medical(Suzhou) Co., Ltd.Cultiv8 1, LLCEcho Medical, LLCHartman Medical Group, LLCHealth Line International Corporation
13 DXN System, Measurement, Blood-Pressure, Non-Invasive Cardiovascular 11 80 Beats Medical GmbHBeijing Hanvon Health Technology Co., Ltd.Biozen, LLCDongguan E-Test Technology Co., Ltd.Guangzhou Daxin Health Technology Co., Ltd.
14 OLO Orthopedic Stereotaxic Instrument Neurology 11 Balmoral Medical, LLCEvolution SpineFoundation Surgical Group, Inc.K2m, Inc.Orthofix US, LLC
15 IOR Wheelchair, Mechanical Physical Medicine 11 Anhui Longway Medical Technology Co., Ltd.Empower Ride, LLCFoshan Nanhai Hongchen Medical Equipment Co., Ltd.Free Wheelchair MissionGuangDong Yong Yi Rehabilitation Equipment Technology Co., Ltd.

🛡️ What the Top 50 US Medtech Incumbents Are Doing

Recent filings by the top-50 sponsors (by lifetime US 510(k) volume) in the last 90 days. REINFORCE = filed in a code they already own (label expansion, supplement, follow-on = moat-protection move). EXPAND = filed in a code where they had NO prior presence (strategic territory move). Ratio of reinforce vs. expand tells you whether the incumbents are playing defense or going on offense.

Defensive balance: 56 reinforce moves vs 18 expand moves · 76% reinforce · 24% expand · 34 of 50 incumbents active in window
DateFirmMoveCode ClassSpecialtyDevice
2026-07-24 Boston Scientific Corporation reinforce KRD II Cardiovascular OBSIDIO Conformable Embolic
2026-07-24 Boston Scientific Corporation reinforce DRA II Cardiovascular FARADRIVE™ Steerable Sheath (M004PF21M402)
2026-07-24 Boston Scientific Corporation reinforce LLZ II Radiology TheraSphere 360™ Y-90 Management Platform
2026-07-24 Fresenius Medical Care Renal Therapies Group, LLC reinforce KDI II Gastroenterology, Urology Careflux H60;Careflux H70;Careflux V500
2026-07-24 Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics, Inc. expand LDP II Clinical Toxicology Atellica CH Acetaminophen 2 (ACTM)
2026-07-24 SurGenTec, LLC reinforce OLO II Neurology Ion-L Navigated Instruments
2026-07-22 Merit Medical Systems, Inc. expand DXC II Cardiovascular PreludeSYNC™ Radial Compression Device
2026-07-17 Medtronic Sofamor Danek USA, Inc. reinforce MAX II Orthopedic Catalyft PL Expandable Interbody System
2026-07-17 Stryker Endoscopy expand SIT II Orthopedic SportSuite Vision Software
2026-07-16 Roche Molecular Systems, Inc. expand PQA II Microbiology cobas® BV/CV
2026-07-15 Abbott Medical reinforce DQK II Cardiovascular EnSite™ X EP System
2026-07-14 Intuitive Surgical, Inc. reinforce GCJ II Gastroenterology, Urology Universal Seal (5-12 mm)
2026-07-14 Alphatec Spine, Inc. reinforce NKB II Orthopedic Invictus® Small Stature Spinal Fixation System; Invictus® 2.0 Spinal F
2026-07-14 Medtronic Sofamor Danek USA, Inc. reinforce MAX II Orthopedic Symmetrix™ L Spinal System
2026-07-10 Boston Scientific Corporation reinforce ESW II General, Plastic Surgery WallFlex Esophageal Stent System;Agile Esophageal Over-the-Wire (OTW)
2026-07-10 Varian Medical Systems expand QKB II Radiology AI Contouring (VA10A)
2026-07-10 Masimo Corporation reinforce OLW II Neurology SedLine Sedation Monitor
2026-07-10 Howmedica Osteonics Corp., Dba Stryker Orthopaedics reinforce LPH II Orthopedic Omnifit® 20° Series I Insert;Omnifit® Crossfire® 10° Series II Insert;
2026-07-09 Smith & Nephew, Inc. reinforce MBI II Orthopedic Q-FIX KNOTLESS All-Suture Anchor, 2.8mm, with one black knotless and o
2026-07-08 Varian Medical Systems, Inc. reinforce MUJ II Radiology Virtual Cone (1.0)
2026-07-08 bioMerieux, Inc. expand SAN II Microbiology VITEK REVEAL GN AST Assay and VITEK REVEAL AST System
2026-07-08 Roche Molecular Systems, Inc. reinforce QEP II Microbiology cobas CT/NG for use on the cobas 5800/6800/8800 systems; cobas TV/MG f
2026-07-06 Smith & Nephew, Inc. expand SIQ II Orthopedic TESSA Spatial Surgery System; INTELLIO Tablet (72205455)
2026-07-01 Covidien, LLC reinforce GAG II General Hospital Tri-Staple™ 2.0 Black Circular Reload 21mm Extra Thick (SIGCIR21XT); T
2026-07-01 SeaSpine Orthopedics Corporation reinforce MAX II Orthopedic Admiral ACP System; Explorer TO System; Laminoplasty System; Manta Ray

❄️ Cooling Categories — FDA Codes Decelerating

FDA product codes where clearance velocity is FAR below long-run baseline. Two interpretations: (a) the category is dying / commoditized → vacated white space someone could re-enter cheaply, OR (b) the use case is being replaced by a different technology (e.g., glucose meters declining as CGM eats their share). Either way, useful intelligence.

RankCodeDeviceSpecialty VelocityRecent (1y)Baseline (5y)
1 LYY Latex Patient Examination Glove General Hospital 0.0× 0 25
2 JDR Staple, Fixation, Bone Orthopedic 0.0× 0 21
3 FYC Gown, Isolation, Surgical General, Plastic Surgery 0.0× 0 20
4 FLL Continuous Measurement Thermometer General Hospital 0.13× 2 77
5 KNT Tubes, Gastrointestinal (And Accessories) Gastroenterology, Urology 0.18× 1 28
6 LCX Kit, Test, Pregnancy, Hcg, Over The Counter Clinical Chemistry 0.21× 1 24
7 FXX Mask, Surgical General, Plastic Surgery 0.21× 9 218
8 LZA Polymer Patient Examination Glove General Hospital 0.21× 15 353
9 MQB Solid State X-Ray Imager (Flat Panel/Digital Imager) Radiology 0.22× 3 67
10 MCW Catheter, Peripheral, Atherectomy Cardiovascular 0.23× 1 22
11 LFL Instrument, Ultrasonic Surgical Unknown 0.24× 1 21
12 NBW System, Test, Blood Glucose, Over The Counter Clinical Chemistry 0.3× 2 33
13 JOJ Indicator, Physical/Chemical Sterilization Process General Hospital 0.31× 2 32
14 FRN Pump, Infusion General Hospital 0.33× 2 30
15 KGO Surgeon'S Gloves General, Plastic Surgery 0.34× 2 29

⚠️ New Distress Signals (Market-Wide)

Firms across all US medtech that recently tripped the distress signal: small US-cleared portfolio (≤8 clearances), Class I recall in window, dormant ≥730 days. Potential M&A targets via Hilco / Ocean Tomo / Heritage Global outreach.

No new distress signals in window. The standing watch order with Hilco / Ocean Tomo continues to monitor.

🔭 Robotics Future Lane Spotlight

Filtered view of the same window, restricted to 26 FDA codes in the Robotics Future code list. Shown because you ran the brief with --lane robotics. The market-analysis sections above are still the primary view; this is supplementary.

No events in Robotics Future lane during the window.

📡 External Signals — This Week

Leading-edge items from live external feeds; the warehouse sections above are the lagging FDA record (clearances reflect ~12-18 months of prior R&D + regulatory work).

Press Releases leads by ~12 months

AI Synthesis Layer leads by weekly

Coming next:

Clinical Trials (ClinicalTrials.gov)
New trial starts and registry updates — a strong leading indicator for where R&D money is being spent.
Trade Show Calendar + Target Attendee List
MD&M, RSNA, AAOS, AAOMS, ADA, ASCO, HIMSS, CES Health. Next-30-days view of firms exhibiting and what they're launching — real-time signal of where the booth budget is going.
Industry Trade Press + SEC EDGAR M&A
MedTech Dive, MassDevice, MedCity News, MD+DI editorial + SEC 8-K M&A filings. Concurrent and retrospective context.